StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is projecting North Carolina to make the NCAA Tournament as a two seed. The Tar Heels are currently on track for an automatic bid, but don't need it to retain the invite as they're the #8 team in the AP Poll and sit at #8 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 22-4 overall record and a 9-2 record in the ACC.
Over the last four games, North Carolina picked up quality wins against RPI #33 Miami (FL) and AP #22 Virginia and a win against Maryland but also dropped one against AP #5 Duke.
North Carolina is respectable against top competition, with a 10-4 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes an 8-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 3-4 record against AP ranked teams. The Tar Heels boast eight quality wins including RPI #33 Miami (FL) (2 wins), AP #22 Virginia, RPI #50 NC State, RPI #42 Texas, and RPI #45 Long Beach State with no bad losses to speak of.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Kansas State (17-8, 6-7 Big 12, StatRank #58), Illinois (16-10, 5-8 Big Ten, StatRank #54), NC State (18-7, 7-3 ACC, StatRank #49), and South Florida (16-10, 9-4 Big East, StatRank #57).
The first four teams out are LSU (15-10, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #78), Minnesota (17-9, 5-8 Big Ten, StatRank #70), St. Joseph's (PA) (17-10, 7-5 A-10, StatRank #46), and Washington (17-8, 10-3 Pac 12, StatRank #69).
The next four out are Arkansas (17-9, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #71), Brigham Young (21-6, 9-3 West Coast, StatRank #48), Colorado (17-8, 9-4 Pac 12, StatRank #70), and Oregon (18-7, 9-4 Pac 12, StatRank #69).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference
