StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is now projecting North Carolina as a six seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Tar Heels are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #33 in the StatSheet StatRank with an 18-8 overall record and an 8-5 record in the ACC.
During the last four games, North Carolina picked up wins against Georgia Tech and Virginia but also struggled with losses to AP #6 Duke and AP #2 Miami (FL).
North Carolina is not that good against top competition, with a 4-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-5 record against AP ranked teams. While the Tar Heels have a single quality win against RPI #19 UNLV, they're also weighed down by a bad loss to RPI #139 Texas.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Alabama (17-8, 9-3 SEC, StatRank #60), Iowa State (17-8, 7-5 Big 12, StatRank #57), Boise State (16-8, 4-6 Mountain West, StatRank #39), and Villanova (17-10, 8-6 Big East, StatRank #56).
The first four teams out are Florida State (14-12, 6-7 ACC, StatRank #83), Maryland (18-8, 6-7 ACC, StatRank #69), Southern Miss (20-6, 9-2 C-USA, StatRank #44), and Tennessee (15-10, 7-6 SEC, StatRank #73).
The next four out are Arizona State (19-7, 8-5 Pac 12, StatRank #70), Charlotte (18-7, 6-5 A-10, StatRank #49), Saint Mary's (22-5, 11-2 West Coast, StatRank #47), and Stanford (15-11, 6-7 Pac 12, StatRank #72).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference