StatSheet Projects North Carolina as NCAA Tournament Six Seed: 02/20/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 20th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is now projecting North Carolina as a six seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Tar Heels are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #33 in the StatSheet StatRank with an 18-8 overall record and an 8-5 record in the ACC.

During the last four games, North Carolina picked up wins against Georgia Tech and Virginia but also struggled with losses to AP #6 Duke and AP #2 Miami (FL).

North Carolina is not that good against top competition, with a 4-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-5 record against AP ranked teams. While the Tar Heels have a single quality win against RPI #19 UNLV, they're also weighed down by a bad loss to RPI #139 Texas.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Alabama (17-8, 9-3 SEC, StatRank #60), Iowa State (17-8, 7-5 Big 12, StatRank #57), Boise State (16-8, 4-6 Mountain West, StatRank #39), and Villanova (17-10, 8-6 Big East, StatRank #56).

The first four teams out are Florida State (14-12, 6-7 ACC, StatRank #83), Maryland (18-8, 6-7 ACC, StatRank #69), Southern Miss (20-6, 9-2 C-USA, StatRank #44), and Tennessee (15-10, 7-6 SEC, StatRank #73).

The next four out are Arizona State (19-7, 8-5 Pac 12, StatRank #70), Charlotte (18-7, 6-5 A-10, StatRank #49), Saint Mary's (22-5, 11-2 West Coast, StatRank #47), and Stanford (15-11, 6-7 Pac 12, StatRank #72).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Gonzaga
#3Arizona
#4Kansas State
#5New Mexico
#6Colorado
#7Butler
#8Colorado State
#9Cincinnati
#10Baylor
#11California
#12Boise State
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Davidson
#16Long Beach State
#17High Point
Regional 2
#1Florida
#2Kansas
#3Georgetown
#4Marquette
#5NC State
#6North Carolina
#7Illinois
#8Memphis
#9Kentucky
#10Belmont
#11La Salle
#12Iowa State
#13Alabama
#14Harvard
#15Montana
#16Niagara
#17Mercer
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Michigan
#3Louisville
#4Minnesota
#5Ohio State
#6Pittsburgh
#7UNLV
#8Missouri
#9UCLA
#10MTSU
#11Ole Miss
#12Villanova
#13Louisiana Tech
#14SDSU
#15NSU
#16Northeastern
#17Norfolk State
Regional 4
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan State
#3Syracuse
#4Oklahoma State
#5Oklahoma
#6Wisconsin
#7Oregon
#8Notre Dame
#9VCU
#10San Diego State
#11St. John's
#12Wichita State
#13Saint Louis
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Robert Morris
#17SOU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East9 1656.2%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC5 1241.7%
Pac 125 1241.7%
Mountain West5 862.5%
ACC4 1233.3%
A-104 1428.6%
Big West1 911.1%
SoCon1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Big South1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
C-USA1 128.3%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
CAA1 128.3%
Southland1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
SWAC1 1010.0%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%

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Season Preview: UNC is very likely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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ACC Standings

OverallConf
1 Virginia 30-7 16-2
2 Syracuse 28-6 14-4
3 Duke 26-9 13-5
 3North Carolina 24-10 13-5
5 Pittsburgh 26-10 11-7
6 Clemson 23-13 10-8
7 Florida State 22-14 9-9
7 NC State 22-14 9-9
7 Maryland 17-15 9-9
10 Miami (FL) 17-16 7-11
11 Wake Forest 17-16 6-12
11 Georgia Tech 16-17 6-12
11 Notre Dame 15-17 6-12
14 Boston College 8-24 4-14
15 Virginia Tech 9-22 2-16
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2014-2015 Roster

#2 Joel Berry II Fr G 6-0 195
#0 Nate Britt So G 6-1 170
#25 Justin Coleman Jr G 6-2 180
#4 Luke Davis Sr G 6-0 178
#22 Isaiah Hicks So F 6-8 230
#14 Desmond Hubert Sr F 6-10 225
#44 Justin Jackson Fr F/G 6-8 193
#42 Joel James Jr F 6-10 280
#11 Brice Johnson Jr F 6-9 228
#3 Kennedy Meeks So C 6-9 290
#5 Marcus Paige Jr G 6-1 175
#1 Theo Pinson Fr F/G 6-6 195
#24 Sasha Seymore Sr F 6-6 220
#21 Jackson Simmons Sr F 6-7 225
#13 J.P. Tokoto Jr F 6-6 200
#45 Stilman White So G 6-0 170