StatSheet Projects North Carolina as NCAA Tournament Seven Seed: 02/17/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 17th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects North Carolina to be a seven seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Tar Heels are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #37 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 17-8 overall record and a 7-5 record in the ACC.

During its last four games, North Carolina picked up wins against Virginia and Wake Forest but also took a step backwards with losses to AP #2 Duke and AP #3 Miami (FL).

North Carolina struggles against strong competition, with a 4-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-5 record against AP ranked teams. While the Tar Heels have a single quality win against RPI #23 UNLV, they're also dinged with a bad loss to RPI #148 Texas.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Southern Miss (20-6, 9-2 C-USA, StatRank #40), Alabama (17-8, 9-3 SEC, StatRank #58), Iowa State (17-8, 7-5 Big 12, StatRank #56), and Villanova (16-10, 7-6 Big East, StatRank #59).

The first four teams out are Florida State (14-11, 6-6 ACC, StatRank #78), Maryland (18-7, 6-6 ACC, StatRank #64), Stanford (15-11, 6-7 Pac 12, StatRank #75), and Temple (17-8, 6-5 A-10, StatRank #57).

The next four out are Arizona State (19-7, 8-5 Pac 12, StatRank #70), Creighton (21-6, 10-5 Missouri Valley, StatRank #43), Saint Louis (19-5, 8-2 A-10, StatRank #45), and Tennessee (14-10, 6-6 SEC, StatRank #68).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Georgetown
#5Butler
#6Colorado
#7Illinois
#8Colorado State
#9Cincinnati
#10Belmont
#11Baylor
#12Alabama
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Davidson
#16Long Beach State
#17High Point
Regional 2
#1Indiana
#2Florida
#3Kansas
#4Minnesota
#5Marquette
#6New Mexico
#7North Carolina
#8Kentucky
#9MTSU
#10La Salle
#11Boise State
#12Iowa State
#13Louisiana Tech
#14NSU
#15Harvard
#16Niagara
#17Mercer
Regional 3
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan State
#3Kansas State
#4Ohio State
#5NC State
#6Pittsburgh
#7Notre Dame
#8Memphis
#9Missouri
#10Ole Miss
#11California
#12Villanova
#13Southern Miss
#14SDSU
#15Montana
#16Northeastern
#17Norfolk State
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Louisville
#4Oklahoma
#5Oklahoma State
#6Wisconsin
#7Oregon
#8UNLV
#9UCLA
#10San Diego State
#11St. John's
#12VCU
#13Wichita State
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Robert Morris
#17SOU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East9 1656.2%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
Mountain West5 862.5%
SEC5 1241.7%
Pac 125 1241.7%
ACC4 1233.3%
A-103 1421.4%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Big West1 911.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Big South1 119.1%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
SoCon1 128.3%
WAC1 812.5%
MAC1 128.3%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
CAA1 128.3%
Southland1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
SWAC1 1010.0%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%

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Season Preview: UNC is very likely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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ACC Standings

OverallConf
1 Virginia 30-7 16-2
2 Syracuse 28-6 14-4
3 Duke 26-9 13-5
 3North Carolina 24-10 13-5
5 Pittsburgh 26-10 11-7
6 Clemson 23-13 10-8
7 Florida State 22-14 9-9
7 NC State 22-14 9-9
7 Maryland 17-15 9-9
10 Miami (FL) 17-16 7-11
11 Wake Forest 17-16 6-12
11 Georgia Tech 16-17 6-12
11 Notre Dame 15-17 6-12
14 Boston College 8-24 4-14
15 Virginia Tech 9-22 2-16
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#0 Nate Britt Fr G 5-11 165
#4 Luke Davis Jr G 6-0 175
#15 P.J. Hairston Jr G 6-6 220
#22 Isaiah Hicks Fr F 6-8 220
#14 Desmond Hubert Jr F 6-10 225
#42 Joel James So F 6-10 280
#11 Brice Johnson So F 6-9 210
#30 James Manor Sr F 6-6 220
#43 J. McAdoo Jr F 6-9 230
#2 Leslie McDonald Sr G 6-5 215
#3 Kennedy Meeks Fr F 6-9 290
#55 Wade Moody Sr G 6-0 175
#5 Marcus Paige So G 6-1 175
#34 Denzel Robinson Sr F 6-4 220
#21 Jackson Simmons Jr F 6-7 225
#13 J.P. Tokoto So F 6-5 200