StatSheet Projects North Carolina as NCAA Tournament Four Seed: 03/07/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on March 7th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects North Carolina as a four seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Tar Heels are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #29 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 22-8 overall record and a 12-5 record in the ACC.

During the last four games, North Carolina got a quality win against RPI #23 NC State and wins against Maryland, Florida State, and Clemson.

North Carolina is not that good against top competition, with an 8-7 record against the RPI Top 100 but a 2-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-4 record against AP ranked teams. While the Tar Heels have two quality wins including RPI #23 NC State and RPI #13 UNLV, they're also weighed down by a bad loss to RPI #115 Texas.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are La Salle (21-7, 11-4 A-10, StatRank #42), Baylor (17-13, 8-9 Big 12, StatRank #63), Tennessee (18-11, 10-7 SEC, StatRank #56), and Boise State (20-9, 8-7 Mountain West, StatRank #37).

The first four teams out are St. John's (16-13, 8-9 Big East, StatRank #74), Temple (22-8, 10-5 A-10, StatRank #46), Virginia (20-9, 10-6 ACC, StatRank #58), and Wichita State (24-7, 12-6 Missouri Valley, StatRank #37).

The next four out are Arkansas (18-12, 9-8 SEC, StatRank #72), Iowa (19-11, 8-9 Big Ten, StatRank #77), Providence (17-12, 9-8 Big East, StatRank #76), and Southern Miss (22-8, 11-4 Conference USA, StatRank #44).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Georgetown
#3Florida
#4New Mexico
#5Minnesota
#6Colorado State
#7Arizona
#8Butler
#9Belmont
#10Cincinnati
#11Creighton
#12Alabama
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Davidson
#16Long Beach State
#17CSU
Regional 2
#1Gonzaga
#2Louisville
#3Kansas State
#4North Carolina
#5UNLV
#6NC State
#7Missouri
#8Illinois
#9Colorado
#10Iowa State
#11Kentucky
#12Boise State
#13Baylor
#14SDSU
#15Montana
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Miami (FL)
#3Marquette
#4Ohio State
#5Oklahoma
#6Pittsburgh
#7Notre Dame
#8Memphis
#9Oregon
#10MTSU
#11Saint Mary's
#12Ole Miss
#13La Salle
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Princeton
#16Niagara
#17Northeastern
Regional 4
#1Kansas
#2Michigan
#3Michigan State
#4Oklahoma State
#5Syracuse
#6Wisconsin
#7Saint Louis
#8VCU
#9UCLA
#10San Diego State
#11Villanova
#12Tennessee
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Robert Morris
#17Texas Southern

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC6 1250.0%
Mountain West5 862.5%
Pac-124 1233.3%
A-104 1428.6%
ACC4 1233.3%
West Coast2 922.2%
Big West1 911.1%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
WAC1 812.5%
Conference USA1 128.3%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
CAA1 128.3%
Ivy League1 812.5%
NEC1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Horizon1 1010.0%

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Season Preview: UNC is very likely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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ACC Standings

OverallConf
1 Virginia 30-7 16-2
2 Syracuse 28-6 14-4
3 Duke 26-9 13-5
 3North Carolina 24-10 13-5
5 Pittsburgh 26-10 11-7
6 Clemson 23-13 10-8
7 Florida State 22-14 9-9
7 NC State 22-14 9-9
7 Maryland 17-15 9-9
10 Miami (FL) 17-16 7-11
11 Wake Forest 17-16 6-12
11 Georgia Tech 16-17 6-12
11 Notre Dame 15-17 6-12
14 Boston College 8-24 4-14
15 Virginia Tech 9-22 2-16
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2014-2015 Roster

#2 Joel Berry II Fr G 6-0 195
#0 Nate Britt So G 6-1 170
#25 Justin Coleman Jr G 6-2 180
#4 Luke Davis Sr G 6-0 178
#22 Isaiah Hicks So F 6-8 230
#14 Desmond Hubert Sr F 6-10 225
#44 Justin Jackson Fr F/G 6-8 193
#42 Joel James Jr F 6-10 280
#11 Brice Johnson Jr F 6-9 228
#3 Kennedy Meeks So C 6-9 290
#5 Marcus Paige Jr G 6-1 175
#1 Theo Pinson Fr F/G 6-6 195
#24 Sasha Seymore Sr F 6-6 220
#21 Jackson Simmons Sr F 6-7 225
#13 J.P. Tokoto Jr F 6-6 200
#45 Stilman White So G 6-0 170