StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet now projects North Carolina as a four seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Tar Heels are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #29 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 22-8 overall record and a 12-5 record in the ACC.
During the last four games, North Carolina got a quality win against RPI #23 NC State and wins against Maryland, Florida State, and Clemson.
North Carolina is not that good against top competition, with an 8-7 record against the RPI Top 100 but a 2-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-4 record against AP ranked teams. While the Tar Heels have two quality wins including RPI #23 NC State and RPI #13 UNLV, they're also weighed down by a bad loss to RPI #115 Texas.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are La Salle (21-7, 11-4 A-10, StatRank #42), Baylor (17-13, 8-9 Big 12, StatRank #63), Tennessee (18-11, 10-7 SEC, StatRank #56), and Boise State (20-9, 8-7 Mountain West, StatRank #37).
The first four teams out are St. John's (16-13, 8-9 Big East, StatRank #74), Temple (22-8, 10-5 A-10, StatRank #46), Virginia (20-9, 10-6 ACC, StatRank #58), and Wichita State (24-7, 12-6 Missouri Valley, StatRank #37).
The next four out are Arkansas (18-12, 9-8 SEC, StatRank #72), Iowa (19-11, 8-9 Big Ten, StatRank #77), Providence (17-12, 9-8 Big East, StatRank #76), and Southern Miss (22-8, 11-4 Conference USA, StatRank #44).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference