StatSheet Projects North Carolina as NCAA Tournament Five Seed: 03/01/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on March 1st, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is projecting North Carolina to be a five seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Tar Heels are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #29 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 20-8 overall record and a 10-5 record in the ACC.

During its last four games, North Carolina registered a quality win against RPI #23 NC State and wins against Clemson, Georgia Tech, and Virginia.

North Carolina struggles against strong competition, with a 6-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 2-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-5 record against AP ranked teams. While the Tar Heels have two quality wins including RPI #23 NC State and RPI #15 UNLV, they're also dinged with a bad loss to RPI #125 Texas.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are La Salle (19-7, 9-4 A-10, StatRank #41), Virginia (20-8, 10-5 ACC, StatRank #61), Southern Miss (21-7, 10-3 Conference USA, StatRank #35), and Ole Miss (21-7, 10-5 SEC, StatRank #56).

The first four teams out are Alabama (19-9, 11-4 SEC, StatRank #57), Boise State (19-8, 7-6 Mountain West, StatRank #53), Saint Mary's (25-5, 13-2 West Coast, StatRank #48), and UCLA (21-7, 11-4 Pac-12, StatRank #45).

The next four out are California (19-9, 11-5 Pac-12, StatRank #46), Creighton (23-7, 12-5 Missouri Valley, StatRank #43), Maryland (19-9, 7-8 ACC, StatRank #75), and Providence (15-12, 7-8 Big East, StatRank #76).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Florida
#3Louisville
#4Kansas State
#5Arizona
#6Colorado State
#7Butler
#8Colorado
#9Belmont
#10Kentucky
#11Iowa State
#12Baylor
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Davidson
#16Long Beach State
#17CSU
Regional 2
#1Gonzaga
#2Georgetown
#3Michigan State
#4New Mexico
#5Marquette
#6UNLV
#7Illinois
#8Memphis
#9Cincinnati
#10Louisiana Tech
#11MTSU
#12Ole Miss
#13La Salle
#14SDSU
#15Harvard
#16Niagara
#17Mercer
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Kansas
#3Minnesota
#4Ohio State
#5North Carolina
#6NC State
#7Notre Dame
#8Missouri
#9Oregon
#10Tennessee
#11Temple
#12St. John's
#13Virginia
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Montana
#16Northeastern
#17Norfolk State
Regional 4
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan
#3Syracuse
#4Oklahoma State
#5Wisconsin
#6Oklahoma
#7Pittsburgh
#8Saint Louis
#9San Diego State
#10VCU
#11Villanova
#12Southern Miss
#13Wichita State
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Robert Morris
#17Texas Southern

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East9 1656.2%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC5 1241.7%
ACC5 1241.7%
A-105 1435.7%
Mountain West4 850.0%
Pac-123 1225.0%
Conference USA2 1216.7%
Big West1 911.1%
Big South1 119.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
SoCon1 128.3%
WAC1 812.5%
MAC1 128.3%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
CAA1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%

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Season Preview: UNC is very likely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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ACC Standings

OverallConf
1 Virginia 30-7 16-2
2 Syracuse 28-6 14-4
3 Duke 26-9 13-5
 3North Carolina 24-10 13-5
5 Pittsburgh 26-10 11-7
6 Clemson 23-13 10-8
7 Florida State 22-14 9-9
7 NC State 22-14 9-9
7 Maryland 17-15 9-9
10 Miami (FL) 17-16 7-11
11 Wake Forest 17-16 6-12
11 Georgia Tech 16-17 6-12
11 Notre Dame 15-17 6-12
14 Boston College 8-24 4-14
15 Virginia Tech 9-22 2-16
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#0 Nate Britt Fr G 5-11 165
#4 Luke Davis Jr G 6-0 175
#15 P.J. Hairston Jr G 6-6 220
#22 Isaiah Hicks Fr F 6-8 220
#14 Desmond Hubert Jr F 6-10 225
#42 Joel James So F 6-10 280
#11 Brice Johnson So F 6-9 210
#30 James Manor Sr F 6-6 220
#43 J. McAdoo Jr F 6-9 230
#2 Leslie McDonald Sr G 6-5 215
#3 Kennedy Meeks Fr F 6-9 290
#55 Wade Moody Sr G 6-0 175
#5 Marcus Paige So G 6-1 175
#34 Denzel Robinson Sr F 6-4 220
#21 Jackson Simmons Jr F 6-7 225
#13 J.P. Tokoto So F 6-5 200