StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet projects North Carolina as a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament with potentially a nine seed. The Tar Heels are #42 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 16-7 overall record and a 6-4 record in the ACC.
During the last four games, North Carolina held up strong with wins against Wake Forest, Virginia Tech, and Boston College but also suffered a loss to AP #8 Miami (FL).
North Carolina is not that good against top competition, with a 3-5 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-5 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-4 record against AP ranked teams. While the Tar Heels have a single quality win against RPI #23 UNLV, they're also weighed down by two bad losses including RPI #102 Virginia and RPI #160 Texas.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Arizona State (18-6, 7-4 Pac 12, StatRank #66), Saint Mary's (21-4, 10-1 West Coast, StatRank #51), Wichita State (20-5, 9-4 Missouri Valley, StatRank #44), and Virginia Commonwealth (19-5, 7-2 A-10, StatRank #39).
The first four teams out are Alabama (15-8, 7-3 SEC, StatRank #70), Boise State (16-7, 4-5 Mountain West, StatRank #49), Southern Miss (18-6, 7-2 C-USA, StatRank #47), and Villanova (15-9, 6-5 Big East, StatRank #67).
The next four out are California (13-9, 5-5 Pac 12, StatRank #67), Rutgers (12-10, 3-8 Big East, StatRank #68), Saint Louis (18-5, 7-2 A-10, StatRank #56), and Temple (16-7, 5-4 A-10, StatRank #39).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference