StatSheet Projects North Carolina as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team Nine Seed: 01/27/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on January 27th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet projects North Carolina on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament with potentially a nine seed. The Tar Heels are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #40 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 13-6 overall record and a 3-3 record in the ACC.

During its last four games, North Carolina looked solid with wins against Georgia Tech, Maryland, and Florida State but also took on a loss against AP #18 NC State.

North Carolina struggles against strong competition, with a 5-4 record against the RPI Top 100 but a 1-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-4 record against AP ranked teams. While the Tar Heels have a single quality win against RPI #14 UNLV, they're also dinged by two bad losses including RPI #118 Virginia and RPI #142 Texas.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Maryland (15-5, 3-4 ACC, StatRank #64), La Salle (14-5, 4-2 A-10, StatRank #28), St. John's (12-7, 4-3 Big East, StatRank #61), and Rutgers (12-6, 3-4 Big East, StatRank #57).

The first four teams out are Alabama (12-7, 4-2 SEC, StatRank #68), Brigham Young (16-6, 6-2 West Coast, StatRank #48), Iowa (13-6, 2-4 Big Ten, StatRank #69), and Memphis (16-3, 5-0 C-USA, StatRank #44).

The next four out are Bucknell (17-4, 4-1 Patriot, StatRank #46), Florida State (11-7, 3-2 ACC, StatRank #72), Kentucky (13-6, 4-2 SEC, StatRank #65), and Charlotte (16-4, 4-2 A-10, StatRank #51).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Butler
#4Gonzaga
#5Cincinnati
#6Marquette
#7Colorado
#8Colorado State
#9Baylor
#10Iowa State
#11Arizona State
#12La Salle
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Akron
#15Davidson
#16FGCU
#17CSU
Regional 2
#1Kansas
#2Florida
#3Kansas State
#4NC State
#5Miami (FL)
#6Ole Miss
#7Creighton
#8Georgetown
#9Belmont
#10Oklahoma State
#11Pittsburgh
#12MTSU
#13Maryland
#14Lehigh
#15Harvard
#16Montana
#17Niagara
Regional 3
#1Michigan
#2Indiana
#3Michigan State
#4Ohio State
#5Missouri
#6Notre Dame
#7Illinois
#8UNLV
#9North Carolina
#10San Diego State
#11Villanova
#12Rutgers
#13Southern Miss
#14Stony Brook
#15Long Beach State
#16Robert Morris
#17SOU
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2Louisville
#3Minnesota
#4Oregon
#5New Mexico
#6Oklahoma
#7VCU
#8UCLA
#9Wichita State
#10Wisconsin
#11Wyoming
#12St. John's
#13Stephen F. Austin
#14Valparaiso
#15Northeastern
#16Western Illinois
#17NCCU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East10 1662.5%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
Pac 125 1241.7%
ACC5 1241.7%
Mountain West5 862.5%
SEC3 1225.0%
A-103 1421.4%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
MAC1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
SoCon1 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
Big West1 911.1%
WAC1 812.5%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
CAA1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
SWAC1 1010.0%
C-USA1 128.3%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%

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Season Preview: UNC is very likely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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ACC Standings

OverallConf
1 Virginia 30-7 16-2
2 Syracuse 28-6 14-4
3 Duke 26-9 13-5
 3North Carolina 24-10 13-5
5 Pittsburgh 26-10 11-7
6 Clemson 23-13 10-8
7 Florida State 22-14 9-9
7 NC State 22-14 9-9
7 Maryland 17-15 9-9
10 Miami (FL) 17-16 7-11
11 Wake Forest 17-16 6-12
11 Georgia Tech 16-17 6-12
11 Notre Dame 15-17 6-12
14 Boston College 8-24 4-14
15 Virginia Tech 9-22 2-16
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#0 Nate Britt Fr G 5-11 165
#4 Luke Davis Jr G 6-0 175
#15 P.J. Hairston Jr G 6-6 220
#22 Isaiah Hicks Fr F 6-8 220
#14 Desmond Hubert Jr F 6-10 225
#42 Joel James So F 6-10 280
#11 Brice Johnson So F 6-9 210
#30 James Manor Sr F 6-6 220
#43 J. McAdoo Jr F 6-9 230
#2 Leslie McDonald Sr G 6-5 215
#3 Kennedy Meeks Fr F 6-9 290
#55 Wade Moody Sr G 6-0 175
#5 Marcus Paige So G 6-1 175
#34 Denzel Robinson Sr F 6-4 220
#21 Jackson Simmons Jr F 6-7 225
#13 J.P. Tokoto So F 6-5 200