StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet now projects North Carolina as a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament with potentially a nine seed. The Tar Heels are ranked #42 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 12-5 overall record and a 2-2 record in the ACC.
During the last four games, North Carolina grabbed wins against Maryland and Florida State but also dropped one against RPI #4 Miami (FL) and a bad loss to RPI #147 Virginia.
North Carolina is not that good against top competition, with a 3-3 record against the RPI Top 100 but a 1-3 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-2 record against AP ranked teams. While the Tar Heels have a single quality win against RPI #19 UNLV, they're also weighed down by two bad losses including RPI #147 Virginia and RPI #134 Texas.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Kentucky (12-5, 3-1 SEC, StatRank #52), Texas A&M (12-5, 2-2 SEC, StatRank #59), Georgetown (12-4, 2-3 Big East, StatRank #58), and Maryland (14-4, 2-3 ACC, StatRank #67).
The first four teams out are Brigham Young (15-5, 5-1 West Coast, StatRank #40), Iowa (13-5, 2-3 Big Ten, StatRank #68), Charlotte (15-3, 3-1 A-10, StatRank #45), and St. John's (11-7, 3-3 Big East, StatRank #64).
The next four out are Alabama (11-6, 3-1 SEC, StatRank #55), Arizona State (14-4, 3-2 Pac 12, StatRank #75), Boise State (13-4, 1-2 Mountain West, StatRank #49), and Memphis (14-3, 3-0 C-USA, StatRank #50).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference