StatSheet Projects North Carolina as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team Nine Seed: 01/20/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on January 20th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects North Carolina as a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament with potentially a nine seed. The Tar Heels are ranked #42 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 12-5 overall record and a 2-2 record in the ACC.

During the last four games, North Carolina grabbed wins against Maryland and Florida State but also dropped one against RPI #4 Miami (FL) and a bad loss to RPI #147 Virginia.

North Carolina is not that good against top competition, with a 3-3 record against the RPI Top 100 but a 1-3 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-2 record against AP ranked teams. While the Tar Heels have a single quality win against RPI #19 UNLV, they're also weighed down by two bad losses including RPI #147 Virginia and RPI #134 Texas.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Kentucky (12-5, 3-1 SEC, StatRank #52), Texas A&M (12-5, 2-2 SEC, StatRank #59), Georgetown (12-4, 2-3 Big East, StatRank #58), and Maryland (14-4, 2-3 ACC, StatRank #67).

The first four teams out are Brigham Young (15-5, 5-1 West Coast, StatRank #40), Iowa (13-5, 2-3 Big Ten, StatRank #68), Charlotte (15-3, 3-1 A-10, StatRank #45), and St. John's (11-7, 3-3 Big East, StatRank #64).

The next four out are Alabama (11-6, 3-1 SEC, StatRank #55), Arizona State (14-4, 3-2 Pac 12, StatRank #75), Boise State (13-4, 1-2 Mountain West, StatRank #49), and Memphis (14-3, 3-0 C-USA, StatRank #50).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Florida
#4Kansas State
#5Butler
#6Illinois
#7Cincinnati
#8Colorado
#9Iowa State
#10Baylor
#11La Salle
#12Belmont
#13Bucknell
#14Akron
#15Harvard
#16Albany
#17CSU
Regional 2
#1Indiana
#2Miami (FL)
#3Gonzaga
#4Michigan State
#5Creighton
#6Marquette
#7Ole Miss
#8Colorado State
#9North Carolina
#10UNLV
#11Maryland
#12Georgetown
#13Louisiana Tech
#14NDSU
#15Iona
#16Long Beach State
#17Davidson
Regional 3
#1Kansas
#2Michigan
#3Minnesota
#4Missouri
#5Oregon
#6Notre Dame
#7New Mexico
#8Connecticut
#9Oklahoma State
#10Wisconsin
#11Pittsburgh
#12Kentucky
#13MTSU
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Weber State
#16Northeastern
#17SOU
Regional 4
#1Louisville
#2Syracuse
#3Ohio State
#4NC State
#5Wichita State
#6UCLA
#7San Diego State
#8Oklahoma
#9VCU
#10Wyoming
#11Rutgers
#12Texas A&M
#13Southern Miss
#14Valparaiso
#15Bryant
#16NCCU
#17Stetson

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East9 1656.2%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC5 1241.7%
Mountain West5 862.5%
ACC5 1241.7%
Pac 124 1233.3%
A-103 1421.4%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Patriot1 812.5%
SoCon1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
West Coast1 911.1%
Big South1 119.1%
America East1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big West1 911.1%
WAC1 812.5%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
CAA1 128.3%
SWAC1 1010.0%
C-USA1 128.3%
Southland1 128.3%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
NEC1 128.3%
MEAC1 137.7%

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Season Preview: UNC is very likely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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ACC Standings

OverallConf
1 Virginia 30-7 16-2
2 Syracuse 28-6 14-4
3 Duke 26-9 13-5
 3North Carolina 24-10 13-5
5 Pittsburgh 26-10 11-7
6 Clemson 23-13 10-8
7 Florida State 22-14 9-9
7 NC State 22-14 9-9
7 Maryland 17-15 9-9
10 Miami (FL) 17-16 7-11
11 Wake Forest 17-16 6-12
11 Georgia Tech 16-17 6-12
11 Notre Dame 15-17 6-12
14 Boston College 8-24 4-14
15 Virginia Tech 9-22 2-16
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#0 Nate Britt Fr G 5-11 165
#4 Luke Davis Jr G 6-0 175
#15 P.J. Hairston Jr G 6-6 220
#22 Isaiah Hicks Fr F 6-8 220
#14 Desmond Hubert Jr F 6-10 225
#42 Joel James So F 6-10 280
#11 Brice Johnson So F 6-9 210
#30 James Manor Sr F 6-6 220
#43 J. McAdoo Jr F 6-9 230
#2 Leslie McDonald Sr G 6-5 215
#3 Kennedy Meeks Fr F 6-9 290
#55 Wade Moody Sr G 6-0 175
#5 Marcus Paige So G 6-1 175
#34 Denzel Robinson Sr F 6-4 220
#21 Jackson Simmons Jr F 6-7 225
#13 J.P. Tokoto So F 6-5 200