StatSheet Projects North Carolina as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team Eight Seed: 02/15/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 15th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is projecting North Carolina as an NCAA Tournament bubble team with a possible eight seed. The Tar Heels are ranked #42 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 16-8 overall record and a 6-5 record in the ACC.

Over the last four games, North Carolina chalked up wins against Wake Forest and Virginia Tech but also took on losses against AP #2 Duke and AP #3 Miami (FL).

North Carolina is weak against top competition, with a 4-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-5 record against AP ranked teams. While the Tar Heels have a single quality win against RPI #25 UNLV, they're also hampered by a bad loss to RPI #143 Texas.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Southern Miss (19-6, 8-2 C-USA, StatRank #41), California (15-9, 7-5 Pac 12, StatRank #53), Boise State (16-7, 4-5 Mountain West, StatRank #40), and Alabama (16-8, 8-3 SEC, StatRank #59).

The first four teams out are Florida State (13-11, 5-6 ACC, StatRank #82), Rutgers (13-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #78), Texas A&M (15-9, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #75), and Villanova (15-10, 6-6 Big East, StatRank #71).

The next four out are Maryland (17-7, 5-6 ACC, StatRank #72), Massachusetts (16-7, 6-4 A-10, StatRank #47), Charlotte (18-6, 6-4 A-10, StatRank #48), and Tennessee (13-10, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #75).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Colorado
#5Butler
#6New Mexico
#7Illinois
#8Cincinnati
#9Memphis
#10Baylor
#11Iowa State
#12Alabama
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Davidson
#16Montana
#17Niagara
Regional 2
#1Indiana
#2Florida
#3Kansas
#4Georgetown
#5Marquette
#6Oklahoma
#7Kentucky
#8Colorado State
#9UNLV
#10Belmont
#11MTSU
#12Boise State
#13Louisiana Tech
#14FGCU
#15Harvard
#16Northeastern
#17UNCA
Regional 3
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan State
#3Louisville
#4Kansas State
#5NC State
#6Oklahoma State
#7Notre Dame
#8Missouri
#9San Diego State
#10La Salle
#11St. John's
#12California
#13Southern Miss
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Long Beach State
#16Western Illinois
#17SOU
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Minnesota
#4Ohio State
#5Pittsburgh
#6Wisconsin
#7Oregon
#8North Carolina
#9UCLA
#10Ole Miss
#11Stanford
#12VCU
#13Wichita State
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Bryant
#17NCCU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Pac 126 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
Mountain West5 862.5%
SEC5 1241.7%
ACC4 1233.3%
A-103 1421.4%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Big West1 911.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
SoCon1 128.3%
WAC1 812.5%
MAC1 128.3%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big South1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%
NEC1 128.3%
MEAC1 137.7%

Explore other articles:

Game Preview
Duke
Game Recap
Georgia-tech
Recap Notes
Georgia-tech
Boxscore
Georgia-tech
No. 19 North Carolina (21-9) and No. 3 Duke (27-3)...No. 19 North Carolina Smashes Georgia Tech 81-49North Carolina vs Georgia Tech: Recap NotesNorth Carolina vs Georgia Tech: Boxscore



Season Preview: UNC is very likely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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ACC Standings

OverallConf
1 Virginia 30-7 16-2
2 Syracuse 28-6 14-4
3 Duke 26-9 13-5
 3North Carolina 24-10 13-5
5 Pittsburgh 26-10 11-7
6 Clemson 23-13 10-8
7 Florida State 22-14 9-9
7 NC State 22-14 9-9
7 Maryland 17-15 9-9
10 Miami (FL) 17-16 7-11
11 Wake Forest 17-16 6-12
11 Georgia Tech 16-17 6-12
11 Notre Dame 15-17 6-12
14 Boston College 8-24 4-14
15 Virginia Tech 9-22 2-16
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2014-2015 Roster

#2 Joel Berry II Fr G 6-0 195
#0 Nate Britt So G 6-1 170
#25 Justin Coleman Jr G 6-2 180
Spencer Dalton F
#4 Luke Davis Sr G 6-0 178
#22 Isaiah Hicks So F 6-8 230
#14 Desmond Hubert Sr F 6-10 225
#44 Justin Jackson Fr F/G 6-8 193
#42 Joel James Jr F 6-10 280
#11 Brice Johnson Jr F 6-9 228
#3 Kennedy Meeks So F 6-9 290
#5 Marcus Paige Jr G 6-1 175
#1 Theo Pinson Fr F/G 6-6 195
#24 Sasha Seymore Sr F 6-6 220
#21 Jackson Simmons Sr F 6-7 225
#13 J.P. Tokoto Jr F 6-6 200
#45 Stilman White So G 6-0 170