StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is projecting North Carolina as an NCAA Tournament bubble team with a possible eight seed. The Tar Heels are ranked #42 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 16-8 overall record and a 6-5 record in the ACC.
Over the last four games, North Carolina chalked up wins against Wake Forest and Virginia Tech but also took on losses against AP #2 Duke and AP #3 Miami (FL).
North Carolina is weak against top competition, with a 4-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-5 record against AP ranked teams. While the Tar Heels have a single quality win against RPI #25 UNLV, they're also hampered by a bad loss to RPI #143 Texas.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Southern Miss (19-6, 8-2 C-USA, StatRank #41), California (15-9, 7-5 Pac 12, StatRank #53), Boise State (16-7, 4-5 Mountain West, StatRank #40), and Alabama (16-8, 8-3 SEC, StatRank #59).
The first four teams out are Florida State (13-11, 5-6 ACC, StatRank #82), Rutgers (13-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #78), Texas A&M (15-9, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #75), and Villanova (15-10, 6-6 Big East, StatRank #71).
The next four out are Maryland (17-7, 5-6 ACC, StatRank #72), Massachusetts (16-7, 6-4 A-10, StatRank #47), Charlotte (18-6, 6-4 A-10, StatRank #48), and Tennessee (13-10, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #75).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference