StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet projects North Carolina to make the NCAA Tournament as a one seed. The Tar Heels are, at this point, on track for an automatic bid, but they won't need to win their conference tournament as they're the #4 team in the AP Poll and sit at #3 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 27-4 overall record and a 14-2 record in the ACC.
Over the last four games, North Carolina notched quality wins against AP #6 Duke and RPI #44 Virginia and wins against Maryland and NC State.
North Carolina is respectable against top competition, with a 13-4 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes an 8-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 5-4 record against AP ranked teams. The Tar Heels boast eight quality wins including AP #6 Duke, RPI #44 Virginia (2 wins), RPI #49 Miami (FL) (2 wins), RPI #35 Long Beach State, and AP #14 Wisconsin with no bad losses to speak of.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Seton Hall (19-11, 8-10 Big East, StatRank #60), NC State (20-11, 9-7 ACC, StatRank #52), Oregon (22-8, 13-5 Pac 12, StatRank #53), and Texas (19-12, 9-9 Big 12, StatRank #57).
The first four teams out are Brigham Young (25-8, 12-4 West Coast, StatRank #48), Cincinnati (22-9, 12-6 Big East, StatRank #68), Mississippi State (21-10, 8-8 SEC, StatRank #75), and Virginia Commonwealth (28-6, 15-3 CAA, StatRank #35).
The next four out are Colorado (19-11, 11-7 Pac 12, StatRank #81), Illinois (17-14, 6-12 Big Ten, StatRank #76), St. Joseph's (PA) (19-12, 9-7 A-10, StatRank #50), and Tennessee (18-13, 10-6 SEC, StatRank #74).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference
